Evolution: The ramfications of mutations And the necessity for Information

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[TheWindCriesMary]

You're a retard.

 No u

-Wind

[Mysthalin]

Technically, he's using a pre-emptive ad hominem to stop me from claiming the same argument again.

Also, SX - this is why your calculations are wrong from the very get go : there are two major reasons.

1) Your statistic of 19 / 40,000,000,000,000 is in itself - not a complete statistic. It is merely something that happened only once. If the test were to be restarted - under the exact same circumstances (or better yet - with different ones) : you could get the same mutation in just 2 generations, rather than 31,500. Or you could get the same mutation in 100,000 generations.
It would be equivilent of me stating that the chance for a pak to hit a rifleman is 100 percent, after seeing a pak fire 3 times and hitting the riflemen 3 times in a row - ignoring the fact that the pak may well miss another 20 shots after those 3.

2) You use an (incomplete) statistic of one thing - precisely of E.Coli developing the ability to process citrate under those exact precise lab conditions, to determine the statistical probability of EVERY SINGLE MAMMALIAN under ALL POSSIBLE CONDITIONS to develop ANY KIND OF MUTATION. You can not base a probability entirely on an unrelated statistic(which also happens to be incomplete).
Putting it in layman terms - it would be equivilent to me deciding what is the chance for every single axis vehicle, under all possible circumstances to kill a rifle squad entirely from how a pak with 100 percent health fared against a rifle squad in the northern side of the forest of Abbeville.